In one of the more pivotal AFC matchups this weekend, the 9-4 Buffalo Bills will head to Pittsburgh to take on the 8-5 Steelers in a primetime matchup on Sunday Night Football. Both teams are currently in the playoffs as the two Wild Card teams, but Tennessee also sits at 8-5 and will host the Texans on Sunday.
Devlin Hodges will make his third consecutive start after replacing Mason Rudolph a few weeks ago. He is 3-0 as the starter on the season, and the Steelers have won all four games in which he has attempted double-digit passes.
Last week against the Cardinals, Hodges went 16-of-19 for 152 yards and a touchdown. He may not win the game for the Steelers, but he isn’t losing it for them either.
Buffalo comes into this game having had its three-game winning streak snapped last week at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens 24-17. Josh Allen had his worst game since Week 8 against the Eagles, going just 17-of-39 for 146 yards and a touchdown, and he also fumbled twice.
Overall, Allen has been pretty good over the last month of the season, scoring nine total touchdowns against just two turnovers. He is averaging over 200 yards passing with another 40 on the ground, but his .590 completion rate leaves a lot to be desired. At 9-4, however, it’s hard to argue with the results.
Pittsburgh is a 1.5-point favorite playing at home in this one, while the over/under has been set at 36.
Can The Bills Buffalo Pittsburgh On The road?
Despite Allen being a young quarterback, the Bills are an impressive 5-1 on the road this season. In fact, his passer rating and completion percentage are both considerably higher on the road, and he throws for nearly 70 more yards per game.
He is simply better on the road than he is at home. Whether its the cold, the wind, or an anomaly, it’s worth noting.
The Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games, and 8-4-1 on the season. On the road, they are 5-0-1 ATS. The Bills have also gone under in 10 of their 13 games this season.
Duck And Cover
The Steelers are 3-0 ATS in Hodges’ three games started, and all three games have hit the under. Pittsburgh is 5-2 at home straight up this season and 4-2-1 ATS at Three Rivers. Overall on the season, the Steelers have hit the under in 10 of their 13 games as well.
Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Pick and Prediction
Though Pittsburgh has been good with Hodges as a game manager, Allen should rebound here and has looked comfortable on the road. This Buffalo defense will not be beaten through the air, and unless James Conner comes back (he did practice Wednesday), none of the Pittsburgh running backs are worth getting excited about. Take the Bills on the road along with the under.