Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants NFL Pick, Prediction & Preview

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants NFL Pick Prediction Preview

A couple of teams that wish to forget that Week 12 took place meet at MetLife Stadium this Sunday, as the Packers head north to square off against the Giants. Green Bay is reeling off of an ugly loss to the San Francisco 49ers, a game in which many thought they could cover the spread, turned into a KO victory for the Niners. It was a great special teams play, with the Bears pinning the Giants inside the 2-yard line with 4 minutes to play, that sealed the fate in the latest Giants loss. 

The Giants have lost seven straight contests, though they were able to keep four of those seven within one possession, but in their world, an L is an L. The Packers currently sit at 8-3, tied with the Vikings for the lead in the NFC North. That being said, Aaron Rodgers spent way too much time on his back Sunday, in a 38-7 defeat coming at the hands of the NFC-leading 49ers. 

It was the second time in the last three weeks that the Pack was unable to muster more than one touchdown. Green Bay is a 6.5-point favorite in this matchup, with the over/under set at 45.5.

Smith, Smith, and Sacks 

Rodgers and his squad haven’t lost two in a row this season. Surprisingly, over the last three seasons, the Packers are only 3-5 after a loss. Over the last three games, in which the Packers have lost two, Rodgers is only averaging 166 yards per game. He’s only thrown two touchdowns in those games, but he hasn’t thrown any picks. 

While those aren’t Rodgers-like numbers, he hasn’t exactly been pedestrian either. The bigger issue is that he’s been sacked 10 times in those contests, for total losses of nearly 70 yards. 

It’s been the Smith boys who have led the Packers on defense, Preston and Za’darius Smith have 20.5 total sacks on the season — Preston with 10.5 and Za’darius with 10. 

Defensive leader Blake Martinez has already tallied 108 tackles on the season. As a unit, the defense ranks 14th in total yards given up, but it’s been mostly their passing defense. The Packers rushing defense only ranks 26th in the NFL in opponent yards per game, which is not great when you’re going up against the likes of Saquon Barkley. 

A Giant Disappointment 

When talking about the upside of the Giants, we’re having a shorter conversation than we did on the Packers. The Giants seem to be feeling out new starting quarterback Daniel Jones, while also auditioning other skill players on both sides of the ball for next season. The only thing that is a certainty is that they would like to move forward building around star second-year running back Barkley. 

Barkley has racked up 720 total yards in the eight games that he’s started this season. Barkley missed a couple of games due to a mid-season ankle injury. Since returning from injury in Week 7, opponents have seemingly figured Barkley out a bit, as he’s only averaging 2.77 yards per carry, a stat that I’m sure a good percentage of could be attributed to a well below-average offensive line. 

The Eye Test Wins

While this game doesn’t have the trappings of a “trap” game, a 6.5-point spread and a reeling Packers bunch may be a game you’d like to test the waters on. The Giants have only covered four times this season, while the Packers are 7-4 against the spread this year. The Giants are only 1-4 ATS at home this season. The pick here is for Green Bay to get back on track in blowout fashion, as the Packers cover the 6.5.

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