Betting Home Teams
Look at Teams that have Mailed it In
The NFL is the big beast in the handicapping world. More people make bets on the NFL than any other sport and the league has become wildly popular. With that in mind, if you want to make successful NFL picks, there are some things to remember. Making good NFL picks is all about finding value. There are so few NFL games each week that the books rarely make big errors. You are not going to find too many spots where they provide you with a gift game. Instead of looking for the gift, your NFL picks better focus on those times when value presents itself.
So where can you find value when making successful NFL picks? One place where value has presented itself this season is in betting home teams. NFL teams have been playing very well at home this year and they’ve been covering at historical rates. This is why you should always focus your NFL picks on home teams first. This is not to say that there is never a time when road teams are a good pick. In fact, there are many times when a road team will bring home the bacon. If we are looking for value, though, then it pays to pick home teams more often than road teams.
Additionally, you might want to look at teams that have mailed it in. If you watch closely enough, you can pick up on when a team has just given up on the year. The Carolina Panthers in 2010 are a good example. Likewise, this can happen when a team has high expectations but they fall flat.
If a squad has been overhyped time and again, they will likely mail it in when it looks like the playoffs are out of the picture. If you can spot that moment when the team is going to mail it in, you can have a lot of success with your NFL picks. Keep your eyes and ears open and these things will become evident to you.
Make Successful NFL Picks
NFL picks won’t often be easy, so prepare yourself for that. Understand that you need to be looking for the small opportunities, and you will have more success. With this type of approach, you are much more likely to have more money at the end of the year.